Forex Trading Strategy : What You Need In Trading

December 18, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

The forex market is drawing people in like bees to honey. It is, by far, said to be the busiest and, at the same time, the largest financial market in the world. Trading in it also presents vast potentials for profits that is why it really is an ideal venue to really put some time and effort into.

Because of its nature, it is of no surprise that a lot of people write about forex trading strategies that they think work. To be able to really become successful in trading in the forex market, the first thing that you should do is to get a clear grasp of what you are getting yourself into. Venturing into forex trading without the proper guidance, although it has a lot of profit potentials, would cause more negative effects since you could lose money, that is, more than you can afford to lose.

To be able to get the proper guidance in forex trading, you should resort to forex trading courses or tutorials that would really be able to hone your trading skills and inculcate in you the values that you would be needing to become a good forex trader. A lot of different entities offer them and, of course, you need to be wary about where you will be getting your forex education, otherwise, instead of gaining valuable knowledge, you would end up empty-handed and, at the same time, wasting your time and resources going for something that would not really do you any good. So, to make sure that you will be able to get good quality forex education, make sure that you do your research. The good thing is that there are tons of free online resources wherein you can get really valuable information and tips on how to go about your forex trading activities.

The most essential thing when you are already doing forex trading would be developing your own forex trading strategy. The forex trading strategy that you will be developing will be your trusty weapon in combating all the obstacles that the forex market may present you with. There is no set standards for what would work and what would not work in terms of developing a forex trading strategy. More often than not, what would work for a trader might not work for another trader. This is because not all traders are equal, most especially in terms of resources.

The key to developing a great forex trading strategy is a combination of a great forex education, resources, discipline, and sheer guts and cunning. Forex trading would work like a charm if you have one.

A managed forex account starts with a desire to learn and a drive to become a great trader. Learning mini forex trading platform takes dedication and a good teacher. But once you learn how to trade and do so successfully your life will change and you have options and financial resources you never had before.

Forex Trading Stradegy : Technical strategies based on crossovers

October 26, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

In this article we will study the various kinds of crossovers and how to exploit, interpret and confirm them based on the interaction of indicators with the price and each other. The crossover strategy is popular and easy to use and identify, but it can also be troublesome because of its tendency to generate conflicting and false signals unless it is confirmed by other types of data.

Crossovers are thought to signal momentum change in the markets. When the main indicator crosses a predefined signal line, the trader will interpret this as a warning sign that something is changing with respect to either momentum of the price action, or its direction. But as we mentioned, crossovers are relatively common, and a strategy based on them alone is unlikely to work well in the absence of confirmation from other sources.

The signals generated by a crossover can be useful in a ranging or trending market, but in a trending market, a crossover is a less significant development than in a ranging market.

Let us examine the various basic crossover strategies.

Moving Average Crossovers

Moving average crossovers occur when a faster moving average rises above or false below a slower one. For example, when a 13-day SMA (simple moving average) rises above a 100-day SMA, or when an 14-day EMA falls below a 50-day SMA, we will be studying a moving average crossover. In this type of crossover, the signal line is not static, and must be provided by the trader manually. This flexibility makes MA crossovers much more adaptable to changing market conditions, and in trending markets, MA’s can be greatly useful for our trading choices.

MA crossovers can be useful for both range trading, and trend following, but since moving averages generate smoother and more reliable signals in trending markets with relatively low volatility, the most successful use of the MA crossover is also in a trending market. Many traders choose to use a simple moving average for the slower MA, and an exponential moving average for the fast component. But this is not a necessity. Depending on the preference of the trader with regard to indicator sensitivity to price action, an EMA can be used or discarded altogether.

Forex Trading Strategy : Trade Timing — how to decide entry/exit points

October 26, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

If money management is one half-of trading, determination of entry/exit points constitutes the other half. No amount of successful analysis will be useful if we can’t determine good trigger points for our trades. Even if we know that the value of a currency pair will appreciate in the future, unless we have a clear conception of when that appreciation will occur, and where it will end, our knowledge is unlikely to bring us great profits. Similarly, even in the unfortunate situation where the analysis that justified the opening of a position is false, mastery of trade timing might allow us to register positive returns due to the high volatility in the forex market. Clearly, we need powerful strategies to help us calculate the best trigger values for a trade justified by careful and patient analysis.

We have discussed the various ways of creating stop-loss orders on this website, and in this article we’ll continue on that theme by handling this subject in a more general way by identifying some principles for the management of our positions. The opening and closing of a position are the most frequent activities of any trader; it is obvious that this should also be the subject to which we devote the greatest attention. However, as in the case of a doctor or an engineer, the final task that is performed routinely and most frequently depends on certain skills, education and study which for the most part lack any obvious relationship to it. Thus, it is important to note that the study of trade timing is one of the final lessons for which the trader must prepare himself. The other courses that would lead us to this subject, such as technical and fundamental analysis, may not always have clearly definable benefits at first sight, but they pave the way to our ultimate goal of timing our trades successfully and profiting from them.

Before going into the technical aspects that complicate our trading decisions, we must say a few words on the necessity of emotional control in ensuring a successful and meaningful trading process. Let’s repeat again, as we’ve done many times on this site, that without proper control over our feelings not a single word in this text would help us to trade profitably. The psychological endurance necessary for achieving a successful trading career is an important precursor to both money management and trade timing. Consequently, even before beginning the study of trade timing, we must concentrate our energies toward the goal of understanding and restraining our emotions, and gaining control over the psychological aspects of decision-making in a trading career. The Main Principle of Trade Timing

The first principle of trade timing is that it’s impossible to be certain about both the price and the technical pattern at the same time. The trader can base his timing on the actualization of a technical formation, or he can base it on a price level, and he can ensure that his trade is only executed when either of these events occur, but he cannot formulate a strategy where his trade will be executed when both of these occur at the same time. Of course it is possible that by chance a predefined price level is reached precisely at the time that the desired technical pattern occurs, but this is rare, and unpredictable.

Supposing that the trader is desiring to buy one lot of the EURUSD pair, he has the option of basing his entry point on the realization of a technical pattern, or the reaching of a price. For example, he may decide that he’ll buy the pair when the RSI indicator is at an oversold level. Or he may decide, for money management purposes, that he’ll buy it at 1.35, to reduce his risk. Similarly, he may choose to place his stop-loss order at the price point where the RSI reaches 50, or he may choose to enter an absolute stop-loss order at 1.345, to cut losses short. But due to the unpredictability of the price action it is not possible to define an RSI level, and a price level at the same time for the same trade.

Foreign Exchange Strategy

October 26, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

Getting into the foreign exchange market can be very tricky. Not many businessmen and investors are willing to take the risks involved. It is no secret that because the foreign exchange market trends involves careful study of various worldwide economic policies currency fluctuations and trends, it can be similar and yet a whole lot trickier than the local stock market. Just the same, the foreign exchange trading market provides a more challenging playing field for money market players worldwide.

No different from the stock market, being a successful foreign exchange trader or forex trader involves a lot of careful observation on market trends and a bit of intuitiveness using intelligent guesses and a bit of gut feel in order to earn. On certain occasions, risk takers may earn more that the more prudent investors but there are of course high risk investments that may or or may not yield a profit as high as one may have expected at first. Likewise, profits can be as high as your investments go. They are more or less proportional.

When you get into the foreign exchange market, you can choose to play on an individual platform which a forex trading broker may arrange for you for a fee. Or, you can have the traditional foreign exchange market players – the banks and financial institutions to invest your money in the foreign exchange market for you. This spares you from individual risks and losses, as your forex investment will take whatever forex strategy that your bank may have chosen to adopt. Yet as previously mentioned, there are of course individual forex traders who opt to take the risk individually, adopt or even develop their own forex strategies and depending on the circumstances, market and economic trends and financial fluctuations, actually earn huge profits for their investment in the foreign exchange market.

Needless to say, the extra cautious investor may opt to just leave his or her financial account to banks and financial institutions who traditionally deal with the forex market. Even huge multinational and transnational corporations who trade in the foreign exchange market for the practical purposes of having to do business in another country, such as investment purchases, payroll and wages, generally have tie-ups or agreements and partnerships with banking institutions in order to have them deal for them in the international foreign exchange market.

In the course of having to do their usual obligations such as paying workers their wages and increasing capitalization outside of their home countries, these corporations may also try to take advantage of the fluctuations in currency values and earn profit from them. Often, corporations with a good number of international links can choose to invest and purchase in other countries depending on how they strong or how weak that specific country’s currency is expected to be in the succeeding months.

Strategies for forex trading varies depending on your needs and trading profit targets. It will vary depending on the periodic trends and reports that the foreign exchange market is showing and it will vary depending on your very own interpretation of these trends. You can choose to buy or sell currencies or hold on to your investments depending on how you think currencies will react next. You may win some and you may lose some. What is important is that you will not lose more than what you have won! It is indeed a gamble, but one that you should get involved in intelligently. Needless to say, there are as many forex trading strategies as there are individual forex traders worldwide. One cannot accurately predict how the forex market will react one hundred percent, except only to deduce possible market outcome from careful observation of market trends and financial reports, currency behaviors and the like.

For beginners in the foreign exchange trading market, you have to know that you will definitely need a broker in order to be able to trade, just like in the local stock market. You will have to pay certain fees to acquire the services of brokers. There are of course several brokers that, aside from providing you a trading platform, will offer free forex strategies to help you get started on the foreign exchange playing field once you purchase or acquire their expertise for your foreign exchange trading platform. Likewise there are several books and references, including those that can be found online  that will claim to have all forex strategies revealed, starting from the traditional to the unconventional, to those used by various foreign exchange trading software’s that have been developed by online traders through the years.

Several brokers, financial insitutions and strategists, forex players and even stock market observers, financial analysts and businessmen would claim to have developed their own forex breakout strategy in the midst of market volatility, fluctuating economies and currencies worldwide. Many have developed their analyses and interpretations in a software that would automatically determine whether it is best to buy or sell certain currencies depending on the financial and market reports that come in for the software or program’s interpretation.

While the analyses and recommendations of such foreign exchange trading softwares and programd are largely mechanical and technical, they are more or less accurate. However, they fail to take into account certain events that may have drastic effects on the stock and foreign exchange market worldwide such as political decisions, economic and political intervetions into governments and terror attacks worldwide, all of which could most definitely send all of your market trends fluctuating like crazy.

Many strategists and players in the foreign exchange market would recommend a strategy that would not only make use of the technical analyses and foreign exchange market trading strategies churned out by these forex trading software’s, but cautiously and wisely combine these with financial astuteness and intelligent guessing. In these day and age when politics and government policies are intrinsically tied with financial institutions, a careful study of how economies will react to certain political declarations should also be involved, when trying to determine a good foreign exchange trading strategy that will work best and give you maximum yields. Even as you gamble your investments in the foreign exchange market game, prudence can pay off.

In trying to determine which forex trading strategy will work best for you, it is important to determine first your targets. At the very least you should have been able to set goals for yourself as to as how long do you intend to play and risk your investments in the foreign exchange market and how much profit are you hoping to make.

Likewise, forex trade strategies can best be customized depending on how much of your finances are you ready and willing to invest and risk in the foreign exchange market. You have to take into account that there are certain fees as well that you have to pay when you get involved in the foreign exchange trading market and that these fees are proportional to the amount of money that you choose to invest. It is of course just as important to consider these when you get involved in the foreign exchange trading market.

For example, forex day trading strategies generally involve short term traders or forex market players seeking only to earn a relatively huge amount of profit in a short period of time. Day trading in the foreign exchange market is probably the most popular among beginners, first time investors and neophyte players in the foreign exchange market and it has been touted that this type of strategy will allow you to invest only on sure winners on a very short time basis. However, there are foreign exchange market analysts who will insist that winning big time in the foreign exchange market means long term involvement as the volatility of prices and currencies that day traders take advantage of are relatively more difficult to predict than the long term market trends. This unpredictability of economies and foreign currencies as well as market trading or forex trade strategies make day trading quite disadvantageous in the opinion of long time foreign exchange market traders.

In the long run, risks do pay off and adopting a good trading strategy once you do get involved in the foreign exchange market will bring home the bacon. Chances of gaining so much profit from trading in the foreign exchange market are great especially for those who have been able to study the foreign exchange system as well as currency and market trends well. And just like in any other business or financial venture, never get involved and risk your finances without thoroughly understanding the system yourself. It is always best not to just leave your finances with experts, if you yourself do not have a basic understanding of the trading platform. Likewise, you may lose some money in the beginning, but consider this as part of learning the ropes of the business, it is, like many would say, an investment that will no doubt pay off in no time.

Which is the best trading strategy for you to try and adopt in order to earn big in the foreign exchange market? Only you can definitely determine and tell.

Forex Trading Tactics

October 26, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

Forex Trading Tactics

After having analyzed the market, a trader needs to know whether he or she will speculate for a rise or for a fall.  Besides, the trader has to decide what part of his or her capital to invest into a trade. And, finally, the last step is buying or selling of a contract. This is the most difficult stage of trading at margin markets where the precision of entering and leaving the market is very important. The final decision about  how and when to enter the market must be based on the combination of technical factors, equity management and order type.

The precising the market entering/quitting time based on technical analyses is specific for very short-term nature of such analyses. It is determined by days, hours, and even minutes, but not by weeks or months. In all cases, the same technical tools are used. The most common principles of these analyses are given below.

  1. Tactics at Price Breaks.There are three variations of the trader’s action at price breaks:
    • to take a position in advance, forecasting the break;
    • to open a position when the break is in progress;
    • to wait for the inevitable rollback after break.
    There are pros and contras about each of the above approaches, sometimes a combined approach is used. When working with several lots, a trader can open one position at each of the three stages. One can open a small position before the forecasted break, then buy some more immediately after the break, and finally open additional positions at an insignificant price fall during correction that follows the break. If one trades with small positions, two questions will have impact on one’s decisions first of all:

    • what amount of money can one risk on this trade?
    • how agressive will one act?

    The most conservative trader will in this situation open a long position at the rollback. However, paradoxical as it is the wait-and-see tactics can also be risky meaning one can miss the opportunity to enter the market while waiting for a rollback.

  2. Trendline CrossThis alert allows to enter the market or to leave it early enough, especially if a significant, many times “approved” trendline has been crossed. Of course, other technical factors should not be left out.

    If a trendline is used as a support/resistance level, long positions will be opened when prices fall to the level of a stable up-trend line, short positions will be opened when prices rise to the down-trend level.

  3. Support/Resistance LevelsA break of the support level can be a signal to open a long position, which can later be protected using a stop order. The latter can be placed below the nearest support level or, to be more protective, just below the break level, which now will perform a supporting function.

    Prices rising to the resistance level at a down-trend and falling to the support level at an up-trend can be used to open new positions and to add lots to profitable positions already opened. When choosing protective stop levels, it is important to take support/resistance levels into consideration.

  4. Price CorrectionFor an up-trend, the intermediate price falls that make percentages of the previous growth by Fibonacci can be used to open new or additional long positions. It must be noted that, in this case, analysis of percentages of correction length relates to very short market movements.

    A proper moment to open a long position would be a 38-% price rollback that takes place after a Bull break at an up-trend. It would be rather reasonable to open short positions when, at a down-trend, prices jump up covering 38 to 62% of the preceding fall length.

  5. GapsPrice gaps that are formed on bar charts can also be sued to choose a proper moment to open or close positions. For example, gaps formed during price growth often become support levels. That is why, at an up-trend, it is reasonable to open long positions when prices fall to the upper border of the gap or a bit below it. A stop order can be placed below the gap. At a down-trend, an open position should be opened when prices reach the lower border of the gap or a bit above it. The protective stop order is placed above the gap, in this case.
  6. AveragingAveraging is a trading strategy used when one has made a mistake or just made a trade (the first coming to one’s mind) and the price has moved against, and one makes a new operation of the same type but at a more profitable price. The most important disadvantage of averaging is that one cannot know to what price the market will go against the trader. The averaging demands to invest a double amount of money compared to that invested before. If one has much money on the account, he or she can stand the price movement of 100, 200 and even more pips. Such movements are not very frequent on the market, though. This strategy is not the best one, especially if you have made a mistake by trend direction sensing.

Practicable Strategies

The first strategy consists in the long keeping positions opened for the period from several days to several months. This strategy is used by strategic investors and semiprofessional traders. It is most effective on arising trends and it is least effective on sideways and slow trends. This strategy needs additional protection and the corresponding work on the terminal options market. When working with long positions, it is also important to make both technical and fundamental analyses. The share of long positions in the trader’s practical work should not exceed 15% of the equity. Analyses made for opening long positions will help you in a shorter game, too. Namely, they will help to define long-term support/resistance levels:
  • a strong long trend will warn you when you work against it on short positions;
  • you will gain self-reliance when playing with a short position in the long trend direction.

Another strategy consists in working on middle-termed trends, up to a few days long. It is also desirable to secure with options, which are most attractive for amateur traders. The middle-sized positions are more stable for gaining profits, though such a play needs more complicated analyses. The trading quality also depends on the ability to play a short-term game (to choose the right time for opening/closing a position). To open a middle-sized position, on has to both make a technical analysis and be attentive about news: Are any fundamental news income before the position is closed? Are any regional markets closed at that time? Psychological factors will pale into insignificance. For all its external stability, the market must be closely watched as it can spring all possible surprises at the very wrong time. If you play a middle-term game based on fundamental factors, you should also make sure that the technical analysis does not contradict your positions.

The third strategy consists in opening a position for a short time, from a few minutes to a few hours. This strategy is used by professionals. Pros: there is no risk of unfavorable fundamental news and price changes during the time when you are away. Contras: large expenditures (commissions, spread, internet providing, etc.), high probability of unfavorable price movements, the necessity of steady monitoring, concentration and exertion during the working day. The main help can be provided by occilators (you should follow the rules of open time choosing). You should not rejoice at small profits obtained using this strategy. You are in danger to lose all profits gained for a long time and on many trades.

Recommended Practices of Forex Trading Tactics

A trading technique consists of five stages:

  1. trend detection;
  2. detection of the rollback start point;
  3. detection of the rollback end point;
  4. getting confirmation from another indicator or system;
  5. entering the market with placing stop order and TP.

Let us consider all these stages in more details by the example of a trading technique based on MACD. Let’s use MACD with periods of 5, 13, 8.

We will consider that:

  • it is the up-trend when the average on the MACD is above zero and there is no bull divergence with the price, i.e., every new peak in the price chart is confirmed by the next peak of the indicator (average on the MACD);
  • it is the down-trend when the average on the MACD is below zero and there is no bear converegence with the price, i.e., every new trough in the price chart is confirmed by the next trough of the indicator (average on the MACD);
  • the rollback starts if the slow line is met by the quick line top-down; this requires an up-trend, i.e., the average on the MACD is above zero and there is no bull divergence;
  • the rollback in the up-direction starts if the slow line is met by the quick line bottom-up; this requires a down-trend, i.e. the average on the MACD is below zero and there is no bear converegence.


Doji Candlestick

October 26, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

I ran across this great article today.  This is truly an effective and simple strategy.  I really like how this trader uses the “doji pattern” to make decisions when trading.  If you don’t know what a doji is, it is a bar that has an open and close point at nearly the very same spot.  It looks like a plus sign on the chart, so it’s easy to spot.  If you aren’t sure what I’m referring to, then do a quick “Google Image” search on “doji candlestick” and you can see what they look like. – Ann

Day-Trading With the Power of the Doji
By Michael J Parsons

Early in my trading career while I was still rather naive I paid for a course on a trading method based on an “inside bar”, which is a bar that has a lower high and higher low than the previous bar. I thought that the method looked promising and the idea seemed rather simple, once price exceeds the high or low of the inside bar then you would buy or sell. A stop would then be set just beyond the other side of the inside bar. Unfortunately, even though price would often might break the high or low price it still tended to consolidate afterward rather than make a strong move. It obviously wasn’t as definitive of a move as I was originally led to believe. Additionally, the entry placed the trade entry late in the move and when the trade did fail, which was often, it would result in losses that were a bit rich for my taste. Particularly when they were repetitive. It did not take me long to abandon this form of trading.

In time I also learned about another bar called the Doji, which is used in candlestick charts. Although candlestick methodology uses this bar in quite a variety of combination s that made learning rather complex, I did take note of one very simple way it could be applied and returned to the earlier concept of trading the inside bar using the Doji bar instead.

A Doji bar is simply defined as a price bar with a similar open and close. On a chart it looks very much like a plus sign as used in mathematical addition. Often it is an inside bar, but not always. What makes this bar unique is that the open and close are typically the exact same price or at least extremely close, so it is easy to identify and find on a chart. Because it begins and ends with the same price it acts as a minor equivalent to a support and resistance level. It was this very fact that gave the Doji a higher rate of success when using the rules of the inside bar method. With a definitive price level the likelihood of violating it after price had chosen a side was very small. This reduced the failure rate dramatically.

As with any support and resistance level, the Doji open/close price can be used to signal an entry based on the direction that price gravitates away from that price level. A higher move would signal a buy and a lower move would signal a sell.

If price moves above the Doji bar high then buy

If price moves below than the Doji bar low then sell

Even better than this, an earlier entry can be made if price has already demonstrated a propensity for trending and the Doji itself is the recent high or low of the trend.

If the market is strongly trending higher then buy at the open if the next bar opens at Doji closing price or higher.

If the market is strongly trending lower then sell at the open if the next bar opens at Doji closing price or lower.

When a market is already in a strong trend then a Doji will typically result in only a momentary consolidation followed by a continuation of the prior trend. Statistically, this is what the odds favor so entering as early as the following bars open will usually result in a profitable position very quickly. A stop can be placed just beyond the Doji bar high or low which is typically within a very close range, so loses are kept at a bare minimum if the trade should fail.

Although entering on the following bars open will have a higher percentage of failures where your stop is activated, failures are still rather infrequent.

This is a simple strategy that is easy to learn and implement without interfering with any other trading approach. Keep it in mind the next time you see a little plus sign show up on your chart. It could be telling you its time to add some money to you account.

The bond market and currency prices

October 25, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

Currencies are the basic building blocks of all economic activity. A grocery, a military contractor, a mortgage borrower, and even gangsters evaluate their economic plans in terms of currencies. Consequently, the forex universe encompasses all the other fields of financial activity including the bond, commodity and stock markets.

Most traders possess at least a basic conception of the relationship between forex and the stock markets. As large amounts of money is injected into the stock market, the resulting currency flows cause the value of currency pairs to fluctuate simultaneously. Similarly, commodity market trends have an easily demonstrable impact on the short term fluctuations of commodity currencies, and a slightly less clear impact on those of others. The same dynamics that cause these markets to influence currency quotes also ensure that fluctuations in the bond market affect the short and long term dynamics of the forex market powerfully, but there are also certain aspects peculiar to the bond market which we’ll try to examine in this article.

The bond market is very large, with the US treasury market reaching a size of about 10.7 trillion dollars as of December 2008. Needless to say, bonds are not issued by government entities alone, as townships, corporates, and many other types of institutions regularly issue their own papers to benefit from this vast and liquid market. Actors in the US treasury and corporate bond markets range from small individual savers to foreign governments with gigantic amounts to spend, and the impact of all kinds of economic developments is felt in the bond market on a daily basis.

What is the use of the bond market? For buyers of corporate bonds, the purpose is benefiting from the various yield options available while controlling risk exposure through bond ratings, and the maturity term of the paper bought. As bond investors are always higher in the payment structure in case of default or bankruptcy, many investors and traders choose to purchase bonds in place of stocks in order to achieve a favorable balance between risk and yield. Purchasing the bond of a corporation allows us to benefit from the growth of the firm while taking minimal risk, but at the same time minimizes our control over the capital lent, since bond investors have no say in how the management of a firm uses the borrowed funds. The significance of the corporate bond market is more limited for the retail forex trader than that of the treasury market. On the other hand, as corporate bond rates are powerful indicators of risk perception in the markets in general, the forex trader is well-advised to adjust his leverage in response to spikes in the rates of speculative, or low level investment grade corporate bonds. If sustained, such spikes would have long-lasting and deeper consequences for the economy at large, and recessions are often preceded by turmoil in the corporate bond market.

The role of the government bond market is different in a number of ways. First of all, we must keep in mind that, as long as a government possesses the legal right to create money, it is in no danger of defaulting on its obligations. Consequently, if there is anywhere a risk-free investment, it is clear that a government bond is the most credible candidate. Secondly, since government bonds are almost certain to be paid in time, they serve as a general benchmark against which all other kinds investments are measured. The success or failure of a professional money manager, for instance, is not measured in the absolute value of dollar gains or losses, but in comparison to the yield on the treasury bond of a comparable term. This method is useful because it allows us to evaluate the risk/reward ratio of an investment in a much more constructive way: if by holding a three-month government bond we can achieve greater returns than that offered by our forex manager, what is the point of investing anyway? Thirdly, the government bond market finances the spending of governments. Thus, fluctuations in this market have far greater significance for the value of a currency, since the changes directly influence the credibility of the government’s policies, and the sustainability of its deficits. And finally, since bond yields are strongly dependent on inflation, and inflation is closely related to growth, the term-yield structure of the government bond market provides a very powerful early warning system for predicting periods of boom and bust.

Forex traders with some experience will be quick to recognize the intra-day relationship between treasury bond yield, stock prices, and currency values. This is not surprising, since in many cases, the fluctuations in the value of a currency represents the movements of foreign investors between bonds and stocks as the events of the day progress. In addition, the strong relationship between inflation expectations and bond yields makes government bond yields a very useful indicator for evaluating the financial world’s opinion on the success or failure of US Federal Reserve in controlling inflation. As inflation is a significant component of the equation that decides currency values, the importance of the data provided by the treasury market is evident. But beyond all the short term sound and fury, developments in the bond market have important long term implication for currency trends too. As an important component of the financial account, external flows into bonds have a direct role in establishing long-term currency trends. The fact that the US dollar still has not collapsed in spite of the massive spending and borrowing of the US government is in part explained by the continued health, at least on surface, of the US Treasury market. We hope to return back to this subject in future articles, and examine the bond market in greater detail.

How A Good Forex Strategy Can Help You

October 25, 2009 by  
Filed under Forex Trading Strategy

In our world nowadays, there is perfect reason to ask: do you have the correct forex strategy? Do you think your forex trading strategy works? Are you able to increase your cash and make smarter overall decisions as a result of your strategy?

Since money is a limited asset nowadays, getting the most out of your cash is truly very important. Gone are the times when you could just spend to your heart’s content; now we have to control our urges and limit our spending. Now, we cannot just satisfy all our urges and purchase all the things that we think we need and want. We must now make sure that the things we buy are important and necessary. There are people who have chosen to minimize the times they eat out, while some have limited the money they spend on clothing and accessories. No matter what, we have all been undeniably affected and we have responded in our own unique ways. One way that is gaining in popularity is employing a sound and effective forex strategy. There might be some people (particularly those who have never worked or traveled out of their birth countries) that are new to this topic, but it is certainly a worthwhile discussion. As long as you can time your money exchanges correctly (by anticipating when your country’s currency value will increase or decrease based on current events), you can increase the value of your cash. This is a fantastic way of making your money earn more.

Therefore, what are the ways we can do to sway the odds in our favor? This is certainly not just a matter of luck. There really is a method to this madness.

A way to heighten your chances of earning money off money exchange is to stay updated through the news. By being informed of the things happening all over the globe, you are exposed to all the events that directly affect your country’s monetary value. It might seem intimidating at first (especially since you really have to stay updated), but after a while you will be able to get a feel for the things you should be looking at.

Having a great forex strategy is very important if you want to get serious about saving some extra cash easily. The idea of engaging in forex trading might seem too minor initially, but it can give you tons of benefits later on.

Look to Forex Strategy Secrets to learn more about blade forex strategies. Want to learn more about best forex strategy, Forex Strategy Secrets can help.

« Previous Page