Distortions Of Investment Market By Speculative Investment

July 21, 2010 by  
Filed under Forex Markets

Investments are also made on the basis of speculation. Investments are called speculative investment when the investor does not analyze and assess the financial asset before investment is made. Often investors are not interested in long term investment but on short term change in price. The fluctuation of prices over a short term is the primary factor in speculative investment. These short term fluctuations may not actually reflect the real value of the asset. Banking on these fluctuations is both risky and distorts the real nature of the asset.

The speculative investment may be beneficial or harmful. The speculator typically buys a produce or an asset when it is in short supply or when the demand is high so that the increased short supply drives up the price. When the price is high, the produce or asset will last longer. But the higher price will keep away a section of the consumer from buying. Speculative buying also is likely to result in hoarding of the produce, further leading to an artificially created short supply fueling the prices even higher. At the same time a higher price could also promote increased production and possibly import if needed.

Speculative buying and selling influences the price of the asset. Increased buying leads to higher price. The price falls with speculative selling. The price may even decline below its real value when the selling is more and in a short time. Speculative buying could drive up the price. When an even higher increase in price is anticipated, this fuels speculative buying driving up its price very high. This could follow with a loss of confidence leading to panic sales making the price crash to the bottom. This becomes a bubble that burst. A major economic activity is the foreign exchange market. Speculative investment is high in this market. There are many ways to understand how the market operates. One way is to learn from the many publications some of which are the London Forex Rush, Forex Trading Made E-Z, Learn Forex Live, System and Forex Breakout strategy.

Increased speculation in the market leads to short-term volatility leading to unstable prices. In recent times, there has been a series of economic bubble bursts that goes beyond the specific asset to affect the whole investment market. This has led to intense debate on the need to regulate speculative investment and trading. A number of measures have been suggested to regulate speculative trading. One such measure is to ban speculative trading in certain commodities as oil blaming hedge funds in the manipulation of oil prices. Another suggestion is to levy a penalty in the form of tax on short-term speculation in currencies of 1 percent or lesser. This tax is named Tobin Tax after James Tobin, an economist.

The Forex business is a difficult endeavor. Thus, a person should always exert the best of his efforts so he will succeed at all his endeavors.

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